In recent developments, key takeaways XLM extends its loss for a fourth straight day as retail sentiment weakens and futures positioning declines. The token remains under bearish technical pressure, but is holding above its 200-day EMA and showing fading momentum. Stellar’s XLM extends its declines for a fourth consecutive session on Thursday, as selling pressure intensified across the cross-border payments sector. The token continues to struggle with weakening retail sentiment. The broader correction highlights fading enthusiasm for remittance-focused crypto assets, which had previously benefited from narrative-driven rallies tied to institutional adoption and real-world asset tokenization themes. Retail sentiment cools as futures positioning contracts Recent derivatives data points to a sharp unwind in speculative positioning across both assets. XLM futures open interest dropped to $260.35 million on Thursday, down significantly from Monday’s peak of $358.78 million, according to CoinGlass. The steady decline suggests traders are scaling back bullish bets that had formed around optimism linked to the Depository Trust & Clearing Corporation (DTCC) partnership and asset tokenization narrative. Stellar holds key support, but momentum weakens The XLM/USD 4-hour chart is bearish and efficient as Stellar is down 9.5% in the last 24hours. Unlike XRP, Stellar is still maintaining a more constructive technical structure, trading above $0.2110 and holding above its 200-day EMA near $0.1975. However, short-term momentum is deteriorating. The RSI has cooled sharply from overbought levels to around 44, signaling a growing bearish strength. Meanwhile, the MACD is approaching a potential bearish crossover as upward momentum continues to contract. Immediate support is anchored at the 200-day EMA, and a breakdown below this level could trigger a deeper correction toward prior consolidation zones. On the upside, a rebound from current levels could see XLM retest resistance near $0.2579, which previously capped gains in late May. XLM now sits at a technical crossroads, with weakening derivatives positioning and fading retail enthusiasm weighing on sentiment. The current market conditions remain bearish as macroeconomic conditions suggest that the ongoing selloff could continue in the near to medium term. The post XLM extends losses as weak retail demand weighs on sentiment appeared first on CoinJournal.
Looking closer, market participants highlight key drivers such as liquidity flows, macro risk appetite, regulatory headlines, and on-chain activity. Short-term swings often reflect liquidation cascades and funding imbalances, while spot volumes and exchange inflows set the broader tone.
Analysis: The medium-term picture hinges on whether buyers can sustain momentum without excessive leverage. If flows continue favoring majors like BTC and ETH, altcoins could experience a staggered rotation instead of a broad-based rally. Meanwhile, policy clarity in key jurisdictions remains a decisive catalyst; clearer rules typically compress risk premia and attract institutional allocations. Beyond price action, on-chain metrics such as active addresses, fees, and stablecoin velocity help validate trend strength.
Outlook: Over the next few weeks, observers will watch price acceptance above recent resistance, derivatives positioning, and ETF-related flows. A constructive setup would feature rising spot demand, contained leverage, and improving breadth across sectors such as DeFi, infrastructure, and Layer-2 ecosystems.
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