adminIn recent developments, after reaching an all-time high of $126,100 in October 2025, Bitcoin entered a deep correction phase, pushing prices to around $60,000 in early February. According to crypto market analysis firm XWIN Research Japan, these last bearish months have marked a structural re-evaluation phase for the leading cryptocurrency. While the consensus market sentiment remains bearish, data from certain supply-side indicators suggest an exhaustion of selling pressure. Notably, XWIN Research Japan shares an insightful analysis of the Bitcoin market balance, based on data from two key on-chain metrics. Bitcoin Correction Driven By Weak Demand, ETF Inflows Show In their latest QuickTake post on CryptoQuant, XWIN Research Japan employs data from the Bitcoin Exchange Reserves and ETF Inflows to properly assess market demand and supply, and ascertain the current phase of the market. Using information from charts shared by CryptoQuant founder Ki Young Ju, the analysts report that Bitcoin exchange reserves have recorded a steady decline since 2024. This indicates that investors increasingly leaned towards holding their assets in private storage rather than opting for a potential sale. In other words, market supply over the last two years has also gradually reduced. The majority of this period has been matched by an equal or higher demand, as illustrated by an observed price gain of over 200% during this period. One major factor behind this price rise is the Bitcoin Spot ETFs, with a current cumulative total net inflows of $55.37 billion and net assets of $87.07 billion within two years of launch. However, after hitting its most recent all-time high, the Bitcoin Spot ETFs began experiencing a decline in holdings. Notably, data from SoSoValue shows these Bitcoin ETFs recorded over $6.38 billion in net outflows between November and February, indicating a drastic fall in institutional demand, which significantly influenced the Bitcoin correction. According to XWIN Research Japan, this observation further strengthens the Bitcoin Spot ETF as a structural driver in the present market cycle. However, ETF outflows have stabilized in recent times, with large net outflows coming to a halt as most institutional investors appear to have completed rebalancing their portfolios. In particular, the last two trading weeks have resulted in combined net inflows of $1.36 billion. Nevertheless, XWIN Research Japan remains in a supply-demand rebalancing phase, and a sustained rise in ETF holdings is needed to reassess market direction. Bitcoin Price Overview At press time, Bitcoin is valued at $67,372 after a 4.34% gain in the last month.
Looking closer, market participants highlight key drivers such as liquidity flows, macro risk appetite, regulatory headlines, and on-chain activity. Short-term swings often reflect liquidation cascades and funding imbalances, while spot volumes and exchange inflows set the broader tone.
Analysis: The medium-term picture hinges on whether buyers can sustain momentum without excessive leverage. If flows continue favoring majors like BTC and ETH, altcoins could experience a staggered rotation instead of a broad-based rally. Meanwhile, policy clarity in key jurisdictions remains a decisive catalyst; clearer rules typically compress risk premia and attract institutional allocations. Beyond price action, on-chain metrics such as active addresses, fees, and stablecoin velocity help validate trend strength.
Outlook: Over the next few weeks, observers will watch price acceptance above recent resistance, derivatives positioning, and ETF-related flows. A constructive setup would feature rising spot demand, contained leverage, and improving breadth across sectors such as DeFi, infrastructure, and Layer-2 ecosystems.
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