In recent developments, kaspa price currently mirrors the broader market, with Bitcoin struggling. The KAS token recently bounced off $0.028 and is holding $0.03. If a decisive breakout materializes amid likely catalysts, bulls could target $0.10 in the coming months. Kaspa (KAS) price has declined by 22% over the past month and by over 64% since its peak above $0.13 in May 2025. The token trades near $0.03, but remains in an extended downtrend amid prevailing weakness across the crypto market. Friday’s session saw Bitcoin retest lows of $65,600, and Ethereum dip to near $1,900, a move that pinned most altcoins lower, including Kaspa. Why Kaspa bulls may hold the upper hand Despite the potential for a retest of recent lows, bullish catalysts are on the horizon. Combined with current strength, these possible upside triggers suggest the advantage in the coming months lies with the buyers. What KAS needs is for bulls to navigate the broader crypto market headwinds while holding $0.03 as support. Among key milestones is Kaspa’s network notching over 600 million total transactions. Details on the Kaspa Explorer show that total transactions have surpassed 604 million. According to market observers, this proves that the BlockDAG protocol delivers real-world throughput with sub-second confirmations. Also notable is Kaspa’s pivotal hard fork expected in May. Implementation will introduce programmable covenants, native assets like KRC20 tokens, and SilverScript for easier Layer 1 development. Meanwhile, nearly 95% of its 28.7 billion max supply is already mined, and a move to the limit can only slash new coin emissions further. If broader catalysts align, the KAS price will benefit. Kaspa price analysis While bulls have the upper hand in terms of what’s upcoming, current price action hints at a potential battle for dominance by both buyers and sellers. KAS has remained in a downtrend since late 2025, with lows of $0.028 in February. The daily chart highlights a key supply zone at the falling 50-day and 100-day simple moving averages, with bulls hitting a supply wall around these levels multiple times. Kaspa price on daily chart by TradingView If the price fails to break out decisively, a combination of negative market conditions could deepen the downtrend. Support could be at $0.025 On the upside, immediate hurdles are at the 50-day and 100-day SMAs near $0.036 and $0.041. The key level for bulls will be $0.050-$0.055, a zone that marks a previous supply wall and above which KAS could run to $0.10 or higher. It’s notable that the Kaspa price jumped to near $0.05 in mid-December 2025 amid excitement around KAS listing on HTX. The post Kaspa (KAS) price forecast: why $0.03 is pivotal for bulls appeared first on CoinJournal.
Looking closer, market participants highlight key drivers such as liquidity flows, macro risk appetite, regulatory headlines, and on-chain activity. Short-term swings often reflect liquidation cascades and funding imbalances, while spot volumes and exchange inflows set the broader tone.
Analysis: The medium-term picture hinges on whether buyers can sustain momentum without excessive leverage. If flows continue favoring majors like BTC and ETH, altcoins could experience a staggered rotation instead of a broad-based rally. Meanwhile, policy clarity in key jurisdictions remains a decisive catalyst; clearer rules typically compress risk premia and attract institutional allocations. Beyond price action, on-chain metrics such as active addresses, fees, and stablecoin velocity help validate trend strength.
Outlook: Over the next few weeks, observers will watch price acceptance above recent resistance, derivatives positioning, and ETF-related flows. A constructive setup would feature rising spot demand, contained leverage, and improving breadth across sectors such as DeFi, infrastructure, and Layer-2 ecosystems.
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