adminIn recent developments, solana started a recovery wave above the $120 zone. SOL price is now consolidating and faces hurdles near the $128 zone. SOL price started a decent recovery wave above $122 and $124 against the US Dollar. The price is now trading above $125 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $127 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The price could continue to move up if it clears $128 and $130. Solana Price Faces Resistance Solana price remained stable and started a decent recovery wave from $117, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL was able to climb above the $120 level. There was a move above the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $134 swing high to the $117 low. The bulls even pushed the price above $125. However, the bears remained active near $127. There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $127 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair. Solana is now trading above $125 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. On the upside, immediate resistance is near the $127 level, and the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $134 swing high to the $117 low. The next major resistance is near the $130 level. The main resistance could be $135. A successful close above the $135 resistance zone could set the pace for another steady increase. The next key resistance is $144. Any more gains might send the price toward the $150 level. Another Decline In SOL? If SOL fails to rise above the $130 resistance, it could continue to move down. Initial support on the downside is near the $125 zone. The first major support is near the $122 level. A break below the $122 level might send the price toward the $117 support zone. If there is a close below the $117 support, the price could decline toward the $108 zone in the near term. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for SOL/USD is gaining pace in the bullish zone. Hourly Hours RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for SOL/USD is above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $125 and $122. Major Resistance Levels – $128 and $130.
Looking closer, market participants highlight key drivers such as liquidity flows, macro risk appetite, regulatory headlines, and on-chain activity. Short-term swings often reflect liquidation cascades and funding imbalances, while spot volumes and exchange inflows set the broader tone.
Analysis: The medium-term picture hinges on whether buyers can sustain momentum without excessive leverage. If flows continue favoring majors like BTC and ETH, altcoins could experience a staggered rotation instead of a broad-based rally. Meanwhile, policy clarity in key jurisdictions remains a decisive catalyst; clearer rules typically compress risk premia and attract institutional allocations. Beyond price action, on-chain metrics such as active addresses, fees, and stablecoin velocity help validate trend strength.
Outlook: Over the next few weeks, observers will watch price acceptance above recent resistance, derivatives positioning, and ETF-related flows. A constructive setup would feature rising spot demand, contained leverage, and improving breadth across sectors such as DeFi, infrastructure, and Layer-2 ecosystems.
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