Solana (SOL) At Risk of Fresh Bearish Wave, Traders Turn Cautious

In recent developments, solana failed to stay above $126 and corrected gains. SOL price is now trading below $125 and might find bids near the $120 zone. SOL price started a downside correction below $125 against the US Dollar. The price is now trading above $125 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $124 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could extend losses if it dips below the $120 zone. Solana Price Starts Downside Correction Solana price failed to surpass $130 and started a downside correction, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL dipped below $126 and $125 to enter a short-term bearish zone. There was a move below the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward wave from the $117 swing low to the $127 high. However, the bulls are active near $122. Besides, there is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $124 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair. Solana is now trading below $125 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. On the upside, the price is facing resistance near the $125 level and the trend line. The next major resistance is near the $128 level. The main resistance could be $130. A successful close above the $130 resistance zone could set the pace for another steady increase. The next key resistance is $135. Any more gains might send the price toward the $142 level. More Losses In SOL? If SOL fails to rise above the $125 resistance, it could start another decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $122 zone. The first major support is near the $120 level and the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the upward wave from the $117 swing low to the $127 high. A break below the $120 level might send the price toward the $112 support zone. If there is a close below the $112 support, the price could decline toward the $105 support in the near term. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for SOL/USD is gaining pace in the bearish zone. Hourly Hours RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for SOL/USD is below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $122 and $120. Major Resistance Levels – $125 and $128.

Looking closer, market participants highlight key drivers such as liquidity flows, macro risk appetite, regulatory headlines, and on-chain activity. Short-term swings often reflect liquidation cascades and funding imbalances, while spot volumes and exchange inflows set the broader tone.

Analysis: The medium-term picture hinges on whether buyers can sustain momentum without excessive leverage. If flows continue favoring majors like BTC and ETH, altcoins could experience a staggered rotation instead of a broad-based rally. Meanwhile, policy clarity in key jurisdictions remains a decisive catalyst; clearer rules typically compress risk premia and attract institutional allocations. Beyond price action, on-chain metrics such as active addresses, fees, and stablecoin velocity help validate trend strength.

Outlook: Over the next few weeks, observers will watch price acceptance above recent resistance, derivatives positioning, and ETF-related flows. A constructive setup would feature rising spot demand, contained leverage, and improving breadth across sectors such as DeFi, infrastructure, and Layer-2 ecosystems.

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