Wall Street’s fight with Hyperliquid could decide who controls 24/7 markets

In recent developments, cME Group plans to make its cryptocurrency futures and options trade around the clock beginning May 29, a product line that posted $3 trillion in notional volume in 2025 and is running 46% above that pace year-to-date. ICE’s New York Stock Exchange is developing a tokenized securities platform built for 24/7 operations, instant settlement, dollar-sized orders, and stablecoin-based funding, pending regulatory approvals. Both exchange operators have directed capital and infrastructure toward the same always-open structure pioneered by crypto-native venues. Bloomberg reported on May 15 that the same two exchange giants are pressing US officials to rein in Hyperliquid, the offshore crypto venue that built the model before either incumbent filed. According to people familiar with the discussions, CME and ICE alleged that Hyperliquid’s anonymous trading environment could distort global oil prices, facilitate market manipulation, and enable state actors to circumvent sanctions enforcement. Bloomberg had separately reported in March that a Hyperliquid perpetual contract tracking WTI crude generated more than $1.2 billion in 24-hour volume during a traditional-market oil spike, briefly becoming the platform’s second-most-traded market. The fight that CME and ICE are allegedly taking to Washington is over who gets to run continuous markets when oil is on the table, and if policymakers will treat it as a market-integrity question or a competitive one. Venue / operator 24/7 market move Why it matters CME Group Crypto futures/options go 24/7 on May 29; $3T notional volume in 2025; +46% YoY YTD pace Incumbent validation of always-open crypto markets ICE / NYSE Tokenized securities platform for 24/7 operations, instant settlement, dollar-sized orders, stablecoin funding Wall Street adopting crypto-style market structure Hyperliquid Already live; $176.4B 30-day perp volume; $7.9B 24h volume; $9.3B open interest Crypto-native venue proved the model before incumbents scaled it DeFiLlama lists Hyperliquid with approximately $176.4 billion in 30-day perpetual volume, $7.9 billion in 24-hour perpetual volume, and $9.3 billion in open interest, annualizing to roughly $2.15 trillion. Hyperliquid accounts for 31.7% of 30-day on-chain perp DEX volume but holds 58.5% of perp DEX open interest, carrying nearly 60% of position-bearing liquidity in the sector while accounting for less than 33% of its trading volume. The structure runs as a fully on-chain order book, where every trade and liquidation settles with one-block finality on its own L1, and its HIP-3 framework lets developers deploy permissionless perpetual markets with customizable oracles, leverage limits, and settlement parameters. The market function this architecture delivers, consisting of always-open, leveraged, electronic exposure to major assets, runs on fully on-chain infrastructure, with pseudonymous participants and permissionless market creation. The market integrity argument CFTC-regulated designated contract markets must maintain automated surveillance systems, real-time monitoring, audit-trail data capable of reconstructing every trade, and formal mechanisms to investigate and discipline misconduct. The CFTC was exercising exactly those detection capabilities when it examined oil futures trades placed on CME and ICE platforms before major President Donald Trump administration Iran-policy announcements. Reports found an approximately $950 million bet on falling oil prices placed hours before a US-Iran ceasefire announcement, and a roughly $500 million oil-futures position established shortly before a Mar. 23 policy announcement. Representative Ritchie Torres separately called for the SEC and CFTC to investigate the $950 million trade, saying its timing raised questions about potential insider trading and market integrity. The CFTC ordered JPMorgan to pay $920.2 million in 2020 for spoofing and manipulation in precious metals and Treasury futures, then the largest monetary relief the agency had ever imposed in a spoofing case. Enforcement actions against TotalEnergies Trading, Trafigura, Glencore, Vitol, and BP in commodity markets over the past decade show the same pattern, where misconduct reached material scale before enforcement intervened, with regulation providing the tools to detect and punish it only when the damage was done. The enforcement record shows that well-timed or suspicious trades can reach material scale inside regulated perimeters before anyone intervenes, as the most recent Iran-linked oil-price moves, those trades were executed on the CME and ICE platforms. Case / event Venue or market context Amount / scale Article takeaway Iran-linked oil trade before ceasefire CME / ICE platforms, per Reuters ~$950M Suspicious timing can occur inside regulated venues Oil-futures position before Mar. 23 announcement CME / ICE platforms, per Reuters ~$500M Surveillance may detect trades after the fact JPMorgan spoofing/manipulation case Precious metals and Treasury futures $920.2M penalty Regulated markets still require enforcement Commodity-market cases involving TotalEnergies, Trafigura, Glencore, Vitol, BP Oil, gas, and commodity markets Multiple enforcement actions Market integrity failures are not unique to crypto Outcomes if the report is accepted If regulators accept CME and ICE’s reported framing, the enforcement focus will land on Hyperliquid’s commodity-linked markets. Oil-linked perps face access restrictions, oracle disclosure requirements, or geofencing by front-end providers, while crypto perpetuals fall into a separate regulatory bucket. Under that outcome, Hyperliquid’s 30-day perp volume compresses to a range of $75 billion to $125 billion, open interest contracts, and institutional BTC and ETH flows migrate toward CME’s regulated 24/7 futures. If Washington draws a narrow line around commodity-linked perps and leaves crypto-native markets alone, or if the CFTC’s examination of Iran-linked oil trades on incumbent platforms undermines the case that offshore venues are uniquely dangerous, Hyperliquid retains its dominant position in on-chain perpetuals. High oil volatility sustains demand for always-open exposure, the incumbent lobbying campaign validates the platform’s market position among existing users, and 30-day volume expands toward a range of $225 billion to $325 billion. The crypto-native market structure remains competitive in speed and composability compared to anything regulated venues can build within compliance perimeters. A range chart projects Hyperliquid’s 30-day perpetual volume between $75B–$125B in a bear case and $225B–$325B in a bull case, against a $176.4B baseline. The US perpetual futures stay in a regulatory gray area, with most activity concentrated on offshore venues. A CFTC now examining suspicious oil trades on its own licensed platforms enters any offshore enforcement action with a narrower rhetorical runway. CME and ICE are building continuous markets, and Hyperliquid has already shown how strong the demand for them is. The incumbents are taking a jurisdictional fight to Washington over who controls markets that are always open when the underlying asset is oil. Whether regulators treat that as a genuine market-integrity concern or as competitive repositioning by incumbents who arrived late to the model will determine which institutions control default-trading infrastructure in the next decade. The post Wall Street’s fight with Hyperliquid could decide who controls 24/7 markets appeared first on CryptoSlate.

Looking closer, market participants highlight key drivers such as liquidity flows, macro risk appetite, regulatory headlines, and on-chain activity. Short-term swings often reflect liquidation cascades and funding imbalances, while spot volumes and exchange inflows set the broader tone.

Analysis: The medium-term picture hinges on whether buyers can sustain momentum without excessive leverage. If flows continue favoring majors like BTC and ETH, altcoins could experience a staggered rotation instead of a broad-based rally. Meanwhile, policy clarity in key jurisdictions remains a decisive catalyst; clearer rules typically compress risk premia and attract institutional allocations. Beyond price action, on-chain metrics such as active addresses, fees, and stablecoin velocity help validate trend strength.

Outlook: Over the next few weeks, observers will watch price acceptance above recent resistance, derivatives positioning, and ETF-related flows. A constructive setup would feature rising spot demand, contained leverage, and improving breadth across sectors such as DeFi, infrastructure, and Layer-2 ecosystems.

Original source: link

Related Posts

Bitcoin struggles below $80,000 amid institutional withdrawal

In recent developments, key takeaways Bitcoin has dipped below $80,000 after being rejected by the key 200-day EMA supply zone. US-listed spot ETFs recorded an outflow of $635 million on…

Bitcoin At A Crossroads: These Are The Major Factors At Play

In recent developments, over the past few weeks, Bitcoin has struggled to break above the $82,000 price resistance and now trades near $78,000. While the integrity of either of these…

Bir yanıt yazın

E-posta adresiniz yayınlanmayacak. Gerekli alanlar * ile işaretlenmişlerdir